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Buffalo Bills ATS record & betting trends 2026
The Buffalo Bills are 6–1 straight up and 5–2 against the spread (71.4%) in 2026, and the over is 5–2 in their games. Since 1999, the Bills are 230–216–14 ATS (51.6%): 115–106–6 at home, 116–104–6 as a favorite and 114–112–8 as an underdog. Their best ATS season was 2026 at 5–2.
Buffalo Bills 2026 game log
| Week | Date | Opponent | Spread | Total | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 13 | @ Houston Texans | -1.5 | 44.5 | W 36–31 | W | Over |
| 2 | Sep 17 | vs Detroit Lions | -5.5 | 54.5 | W 41–31 | W | Over |
| 3 | Sep 27 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | -7 | 50.5 | W 24–16 | W | Under |
| 4 | Oct 4 | vs New England Patriots | -7 | 49.5 | L 26–29 | L | Over |
| 5 | Oct 12 | @ Los Angeles Rams | +3.5 | 55.5 | W 37–34 | W | Over |
| 6 | Oct 18 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | -5.5 | 53.5 | W 33–30 | L | Over |
| 8 | Nov 1 | vs Baltimore Ravens | -3 | 54.5 | W 36–10 | W | Under |
| 9 | Nov 9 | @ Minnesota Vikings | -3 | 46.5 | 8:15pm ET | — | — |
| 10 | Nov 15 | @ New York Jets | — | — | 1:00pm ET | — | — |
| 11 | Nov 22 | vs Miami Dolphins | — | — | 1:00pm ET | — | — |
| 12 | Nov 26 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | — | — | 8:20pm ET | — | — |
| 13 | Dec 6 | @ New England Patriots | — | — | 4:25pm ET | — | — |
| 14 | Dec 13 | @ Green Bay Packers | — | — | 8:20pm ET | — | — |
| 15 | Dec 19 | vs Chicago Bears | — | — | 8:20pm ET | — | — |
| 16 | Dec 25 | @ Denver Broncos | — | — | 4:30pm ET | — | — |
| 17 | Jan 3 | @ Miami Dolphins | — | — | 1:00pm ET | — | — |
| 18 | Jan 10 | vs New York Jets | — | — | 1:00pm ET | — | — |
Bills against the spread by situation
| Situation | 2026 ATS | 2026 O/U | Since 1999 ATS | ATS % | Since 1999 O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 5–2 | 5–2 | 230–216–14 | 51.6% | 224–232–4 |
| Home | 3–1 | 2–2 | 115–106–6 | 52.0% | 115–110–2 |
| Away | 2–1 | 3–0 | 112–106–8 | 51.4% | 105–119–2 |
| As favorite | 4–2 | 4–2 | 116–104–6 | 52.7% | 111–111–4 |
| As underdog | 1–0 | 1–0 | 114–112–8 | 50.4% | 113–121 |
| Divisional games | 0–1 | 1–0 | 80–87–4 | 47.9% | 83–86–2 |
| Primetime (7pm ET+) | 2–0 | 2–0 | 28–30–1 | 48.3% | 24–33–2 |
| Playoffs | — | — | 7–10 | 41.2% | 10–7 |
Buffalo Bills ATS record by season since 1999
| Season | Straight up | ATS | ATS % | Over–under | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6–1 | 5–2 | 71.4% | 5–2 | 33.3–25.9 |
| 2025 | 13–6 | 9–10 | 47.4% | 10–9 | 28.3–22.2 |
| 2024 | 15–5 | 12–8 | 60.0% | 13–6–1 | 30.6–21.6 |
| 2023 | 12–7 | 8–11 | 42.1% | 8–11 | 26.6–18.7 |
| 2022 | 14–4 | 8–9–1 | 47.1% | 7–11 | 27.7–19.1 |
| 2021 | 12–7 | 10–7–2 | 58.8% | 10–9 | 29.8–18.3 |
| 2020 | 15–4 | 12–7 | 63.2% | 12–5–2 | 29.9–23.2 |
| 2019 | 10–7 | 9–6–2 | 60.0% | 4–13 | 19.6–16.5 |
| 2018 | 6–10 | 7–9 | 43.8% | 7–9 | 16.8–23.4 |
| 2017 | 9–8 | 10–6–1 | 62.5% | 8–9 | 17.9–21.7 |
| 2016 | 7–9 | 6–10 | 37.5% | 12–4 | 24.9–23.6 |
| 2015 | 8–8 | 8–7–1 | 53.3% | 8–8 | 23.7–22.4 |
| 2014 | 9–7 | 9–7 | 56.3% | 3–13 | 21.4–18.1 |
| 2013 | 6–10 | 8–8 | 50.0% | 10–6 | 21.2–24.3 |
| 2012 | 6–10 | 7–9 | 43.8% | 8–8 | 21.5–27.2 |
| 2011 | 6–10 | 6–9–1 | 40.0% | 11–5 | 23.3–27.1 |
| 2010 | 4–12 | 8–7–1 | 53.3% | 7–9 | 17.7–26.6 |
| 2009 | 6–10 | 8–8 | 50.0% | 6–10 | 16.1–20.4 |
| 2008 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 43.8% | 8–7–1 | 21.0–21.4 |
| 2007 | 7–9 | 10–6 | 62.5% | 7–9 | 15.8–22.1 |
| 2006 | 7–9 | 10–6 | 62.5% | 7–9 | 18.8–19.4 |
| 2005 | 5–11 | 7–8–1 | 46.7% | 10–6 | 16.9–22.9 |
| 2004 | 9–7 | 11–5 | 68.8% | 11–5 | 24.7–17.8 |
| 2003 | 6–10 | 6–8–2 | 42.9% | 2–14 | 15.2–17.4 |
| 2002 | 8–8 | 8–7–1 | 53.3% | 7–9 | 23.7–24.8 |
| 2001 | 3–13 | 6–10 | 37.5% | 8–8 | 16.6–26.3 |
| 2000 | 8–8 | 7–9 | 43.8% | 10–6 | 19.7–21.9 |
| 1999 | 11–6 | 8–8–1 | 50.0% | 5–12 | 19.8–14.8 |
Test a Bills betting angle
Records like these are a starting point, not a prediction: short-term ATS streaks swing a lot by chance. Test an idea over more games in the backtester: Bills at home, Bills on the road, Bills as a home underdog, or compare every team on the NFL ATS records page. For player props, see player prop hit rates.
Graded against closing lines (nflverse data), games through November 1, 2026, updated daily. Snap Theory is a research site; we don't take bets or sell picks. 21+.